19 Food Production supplementary ie mostly not in text

19. Food Production supplementary ie. (mostly)not in text, but see: sec. 14. 10, 14. 11, 14. 12(4 th ed. )

Feeding the World Population: 1965 - 3. 5 billion 2000 - 6. 0 billion 2050 ~10. 0 billion (est. ) 1998(millions): 137 born - 53 die = 84 gain (rising) Average life expectancy = ~65 years Earth's population growing >1. 5%/yr (NA=0. 8%, Malaysia=2. 3%) 1 bl Oil = 6 billion Joules=1000 kg corn = 125 kg beef

Doomsday Prophets or Savants ? In~1800(population ~1 billion)Thomas Malthus (economist) wrote "The power of population is infinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce subsistence for man" and "… the passion between the sexes is necessary and will remain". In 1973(population ~3. 5 billion) Paul Ehrlich (environmental activist) warned of "… famines of unbelievable proportions" and feeding 6 billion ". . . is totally impossible in practice"

March 2008 Analysis • CBC feature • Of 6 billion people in the world, 1 billion are obese and 1 billion are starving • Redistribution is needed!!

World Food Requirements WHO estimate = ~2200 Cal/person/day 6 x 109 x 2 x 103 = 12 x 1012 Cal/day Food production: 1965: ~2360 Cal/person/day 1995: ~2740 Cal/person/day Supply estimated to exceed demand until 2010 AD Why are 1 billion people in the world malnourished > >>>>Distribution = Politics www. nationalgeographic. com/ features/2000/population/planet

Wow! Why Worry? 1 North American farmer can produce food for 100 people. Food costs(% of income): W. Europe = >30% Elsewhere = ? !? ! NA = ~15%(Canada = $6200/family/yr, ie. ~11%) Crop yields(bushels/acre): Corn(US) - 25(1800)>110(1980)>130(1990) Wheat(England) - 10(1600)>75(1980) Rice(Japan/Korea/Taiwan) - 4 X (1950>1990)

Food comes from the Land < 4 billion acres* worldwide used for production of food( > 0. 8 acre/person). * Dropping ~2%/yr By 2000 ~5 million acres(India + China) had been degraded so impossible to reclaim, eg. erosion, overgrazing, deforestation, urban 'development' (sub. Sahara Africa, Amazon rain forest, even southwestern Ontario). Just use more fertilizer; $40/acre would increase yield 50%(= 2 billion acres). Cost = $160 billion + pollution.

Distribution of Water in/on the Earth’s Crust Location Oceans Saltwater lakes Fresh water (easy) Ground(<0. 5 mi) Lakes Rivers Fresh water(hard) Antarctic ice Ground(>0. 5 mi) Arctic ice + glaciers Removal/yr=1000 mi 3 Volume(mi. 3) % 317, 000 25, 000 97. 5 1 0. 3 , 000 30, 000 300 2. 5 6, 300, 000 1, 000 680, 000 325, 000 (2 x 1018 tons)

Water…LKFs (little known facts) Annual withdrawal (world-wide): 1900 – 600 km 3 2000 – 3800 km 3 World-wide use of annual replaceable fresh water: in 2000 – 54% by 2025 – 70%(90% in underdeveloped countries) ~70% used in agriculture(irrigation – often inefficient)

In Canada. . the Living is Easy! See: • worldwater. org • unesco/water_links • nationalgeographic. com/ngm/0209

Water, Everywhere and…. . Human body(av) 'excretes' ~2. 2 L/day needs 'to drink' ~1. 5 L/ day (also food, metabolism). 10% of world population has adequate potable water. Unclean water/sanitation kills ~3 million people/yr (40, 000 children/day). In NA we flush down-the-drain 50, 000 L/person/yr

Water properties • • Water acts to moderate Earth’s Temperature Heat req’d to melt snow and evaporate liq. High heat capacity: 1 cal/gram/o. C Unique in that solid is less dense than liquid at 4 o. C: (ice floats!)

Water Cycle • Moderates the planet

Water in the USA. . . (trivia? ) Daily use(L)/person Direct(potable!): drinking/cooking -7; bathing - 35; dishwashing -14; flushing toilets - 80; laundry – 35; swimming pools/lawns - 85; other - 90 Indirect: industrial - 3800; irrigation(agriculture/recreation) 2150; municipal(non industrial) - 550 Total = ~6900 (direct - 380; indirect - 6500) Annual withdrawal = 2 X net natural resupply , eg. the Ogallala reservoir under 8 midwest states has dropped from 58 8 ft 'thick' since 1930.

Water Trivia It takes this much water to produce: 800 L - 1 kg vegetables 13000 L - 1 steak 80 L - 1 L gasoline 30, 000 L - 1 ton paper 100, 000 L - 1 ton steel 2, 400, 000 L - 1 ton 'rubber') (1 auto = ~300 kg of steel) Most is recycled or 'dumped'(pollution!)

Water – World Supplies UN minimum requirement person for drinking/washing/cooking = 50 L/day or ~1000 m 3/yr A water-stressed country has less than 2000 m 3/yr/ person of renewable fresh water: in 2000: 508 million in 31 countries, by 2025: 3 billion in 48 countries, eg. India, China(? )

In Canada it’s Everywhere! OOPS! water-level in Great Lakes drops ~1. 2 m in last 15 yrs

How Nature corrects itself • Record snowfalls of 2008 Winter are expected to produce a 1 foot rise in the average water level in the Great lakes • In a year, 25% of the problem from the last 15 years is corrected • 1” of rain ~ 1 foot of snow

It has to melt! • Some lost by sublimation

Not so fast………. . • Only net water gain to Great Lakes if source of snow is not “the lake effect” • El Nina in Pacific is good : cools NA and moisture evaporates from Ocean- net gain in water levels for NA

Water in Canada Great lakes holds 20% of the world’s ‘fresh’ water ! But … 75% of population, 80% of municipal consumption 90% of industry is American 60% of water runs north into Arctic and ‘unavailable’ Livestock operations in Ontario/Quebec alone produce manure = sewage from 100 million humans Water related illnesses ~10, 000/yr; deaths ~ 10/yr Cost to health care system ~ $300 million/yr

Great lakes: chemical “hot spot” • 1969 River fire in Cleveland

1972: GL Water Quality accord • PM Trudeau and Pres. Nixon, alarmed by 1969 fire on Cuyahoga River, sign on

1978 Upgrade • US /Canada agree to “restore and maintain the chemical, physical and biological integrity of the waters of the Great Lakes Ecosystem” • Commit to rid GL’s of “persistent toxic substances”-ie those that linger and potentially poison food sources

Biennial Reports • Started in 1981 -still going • 1987: emphasis placed on importance of human and aquatic ecosystem health • 43 “areas of concern”

2008 Centre for Disease Control • Report commissioned by the IJC (oversees issues of GL management) • 25 “areas of concern” • Outbreaks of Minimata disease: includes Cerebral Palsy due to Hg poisoning in Thunder Bay, Collingwood, Sarnia, Cornwall

Source of Mercury • Chlor-Alkali Plants: use Hg in making Cl 2 and Na. OH. Started in 1894 • 4 cities had large plants (1949 -95). 742 tons released • Electrolysis of salt water: (Hg) used as an electrode • 2 Cl- oxidized (LEO) to Cl 2. OH- from reduction (GER) of water. H 2 also formed.

Oxidation and reduction • 2 H 2 O--------->>H 2 + 2 OH • 2 Cl- ------------>> Cl 2 (g) • • Chloride ion loses electrons, LEO H+ ion in water gains electrons GER Chlorine and OH- produced Na+ is spectator ion (no change)

Chlor Alkali plants • New tech is available, but not Ohio, Wisc.

Gov’ts reluctant to admit problems • • Health Canada knew in 1990’s No public report-leaked in 2000 Gov’ts fear lawsuits and expensive cleanups “there is a reluctance in both US and Canada to admit that there are ANY effects of pollutants on fish, wildlife and human health”

Vital Processes in Food production (i) Photosynthesis for carbohydrate production (ii) Nitrogen fixation by plants leads to protein synthesis (iii)Plants also biosynthesize fatty acids: Canola etc.

We, and the Earth, need our Nitrogen 'Fix' " The control of all life forms depends on fixed nitrogen to form protein. " Inert nitrogen(N 2) must be converted to chemically active species, eg. nitrates, ammonia, that can be used by plants and animals to make amino acids/ protein. N 2 = : N N: = Inert gas O 2 NO 32 nitrate N 2 H 2 NH 3 (NH 4+) ammonia(-ium)

Nitrogen Fixation - au Naturel • High energy of lightning + O 2 NO 2 + H 2 O nitric acid (HNO 3) = 'acid rain' • Clover/alfalfa/soy beans(legumes) have N 2 fixing bacteria in their roots(nodules). Can add 100 lbs/ acre in one year. About equal amounts(1 billion tons/yr each) • Once fixed, the activated nitrogen can be recycled through dead/decaying organic matter. Humans cannot 'fix nitrogen' and must consume plants/animals to obtain their requirements.

Nitrogen Fixation - in the Lab The(Fritz)Haber Process(~1910) - Nobel prize 1918 N 2(g) + 3 H 2(g) 2 NH 3(g) First developed for explosives! By 1880 s it was recognized that 'active nitrogen compounds' would be necessary as fertilizers to 'feed the world'. By 2000 ammonia is one of the 'top ten' chemicals produced in the world. #6 in USA, at: 20 million tons/yr BUT using energy = 300 million barrels of oil

Plant Nutrients Non-mineral: C(CO 2), H/O(H 2 O) *Primary: (N)nitrogen, (P)phosphorus, (K)potassium Secondary: (Ca)calcium, (Mg)magnesium, (S)sulfur Trace: boron, chloride, copper, iron, manganese, molybdenum, sodium, zinc, (nickel, vanadium) * can be obtained 'naturally' from manure, guano (bird 'droppings'), bone/fish meal

Fertilizers (N, P, K) - the Big Three Nitrogen/Phosphorus/ Potassium % of N, P 2 O 5, K 2 O = the 3 #s on the box/bag eg. 5 - 10 - 5 (manure = 0. 5 - 0. 3 - 0. 5) As soluble salts, easily assimilated by the plants but easily leached away and not recoverable Can be quick/slow release Can be complete(all three); straight(one of the three)

Nitrogen (Ammonia / Nitrates) Now almost exclusively by the 'Haber process' Sometimes in the form of liquid/'anhydrous' ammonia (gas, bp. -33 o. C) but easier/less dangerous as solids/salts. Combined with: Carbon dioxide: (urea - H 2 NCONH 2) Acids: sulfuric (ammonium sulfate - (NH 4)2 SO 4) nitric (ammonium nitrate - NH 4 NO 3) phosphoric (ammonium phosphate - (NH 4)2 HPO 4 Natural sources exhausted / too expensive after ~1950, eg. 'Chilean saltpeter'(Na. NO 3) and 'guano' (Chile/Peru)

Nitrates too much Bang, too many $$ ? *Ammonium nitrate (NH 4 NO 3) Are we hooked? For how many more decades can we afford the high costs of production (non-renewable energy) and nitrate pollution(non-accountable). *Commonly used as an explosive, eg. World War I, Oklahoma City, 1995 and elsewhere

Phosphorus (Phosphates) Recognized in early 1800 s, first in Europe, that 'phosphate' was a critical for plants. After skeletons from battlefields were 'used up', larger supplies were required and in more soluble form, so; Ca 3(PO 4)2 + 2 H 2 SO 4 Ca(H 2 PO 4)2 + 2 Ca. SO 4 superphosphate also from: phosphate rock + phosphoric acid Largest deposits in Florida and Morocco (2/3 world supply!). Estimated to last for 30 - 40 yrs; then under Atlantic Ocean off Carolinas.

Phosphate Pollution • Food for blue-green algae (cyanobacteria) : summer 2007 • Fertilizers, detergents enter natural waters

Potassium Used as cation(K+), thus any soluble salt will do. Most common form is potassium chloride (KCl). World class deposits developed in: > Germany, before World War I > USA, eg. Carlsbad, NM > Canada(Saskatchewan, 200 m thick & 1. 5 km below ground); buy shares(? ) in Potash Corp

The Future……. • What are your views on • (i) the best Energy sources (and why) • (ii) solution to pollution

Global Environment • Some necessary steps • Population control: reduce/stabilize overall E and food demands • Nuclear power: Clean-low level radioactive waste buried deep in the ground (its origin); no C emissions. Oil has max 100 years left. • Make clean technology financially attractive (gov’t initiatives/grants)

The problem with David Suzuki • Refuses to acknowledge the reality of nuclear power as the future • France (highest ~60% nuclear) has cleanest air in Europe • Wind/solar/wave/biomass etc. OK for off grid applications, but not practical for constant large urban needs

Some positive signs • Ont Gov’t plans new nuclear power facility • Alberta considers nuclear power option despite “tar sands” resources • 1 barrel of oil used to produce 2 barrels in Tar sand project (CBC feature March 2008) • Huge CO 2 emitter. Nuclear is the solution

But……. . some big negatives • Alberta tar sands: world’s largest oil resource outside Saudi Arabia • BUT. . requires a lot of Energy to extract it (~ 1 barrel of oil to produce 2 ) • AND-massive environmental destruction

Environmental damage due to Tar Sands projects • Deforestation • Tailing ponds

Tailing pond contents • Most dangerous contaminant is naphthenic acid (PNAH with carboxylic acid bonded to it) • Process of extraction involves using vast quantities of hot water, naptha and paraffin in order to separate the sparingly soluble butumen from the tar sands

The leftovers! • Each cubic meter of bitumen extracted produces 3 -5 X the volume of aqueous “tailings” that must be stored • Area the size of Lake Ontario needed!visible with naked eye from outer space • Also alkyl substituted PAH’s (carcinogenic) in these ponds

Effects on neighboring communities • Fort Chipewan (1 st nations ; downstream form tarsands projects) • Greater incidence of cancer, lupus and MS since tarsands development started