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投資學期末報告 富蘭克林坦伯頓世界基 金 指導老師:陳信憲 主任 報告學生: 95320008 林佩儀 95320020 汪靜姿 95320024 莊雅婷 投資學期末報告 富蘭克林坦伯頓世界基 金 指導老師:陳信憲 主任 報告學生: 95320008 林佩儀 95320020 汪靜姿 95320024 莊雅婷

目錄 研究動機 基金簡介 ---富蘭克林坦伯頓世界基金 Stock Selection Guide (SSG) 分析 總結 目錄 研究動機 基金簡介 ---富蘭克林坦伯頓世界基金 Stock Selection Guide (SSG) 分析 總結

研究動機 我們發現這檔基金它成立了一百多年, 基金的規模也相當的大,想探討為何如 此受投資人的青睞。 研究動機 我們發現這檔基金它成立了一百多年, 基金的規模也相當的大,想探討為何如 此受投資人的青睞。

基金簡介 基金基本資料 (2008/11/30) 成立時間 : 1978年 1月 17日 計價貨幣 :美元 投資地區 :全球 投資標的 :普通股 基金簡介 基金基本資料 (2008/11/30) 成立時間 : 1978年 1月 17日 計價貨幣 :美元 投資地區 :全球 投資標的 :普通股 配息月份 :預計每年配息 基金規模 : 51億 1千 1百萬美金 投資政策 :資本利得為主 註冊國家 :美國 基金經理人 : Cindy L. Sweeting Lisa F. Myers Tucker Scott 管理費 : 0. 61% 波動風險 : 17. 10% 基金特色 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 縱橫全球產業 ,瞄準 3 -5年的 投資潛力 。 新興亞洲、 TMT與醫療概念 的全球基金 。 能提供在地化且精闢的研究 報告及服務 。 晨星基金績效評等四顆星 。 榮獲台灣基金獎 。

累積報酬率 (至 2008/11/30止 台幣別 資料來源:理伯 ) 三個月 六個月 一年 二年 三年 五年 十年 累積 累積報酬率 (至 2008/11/30止 台幣別 資料來源:理伯 ) 三個月 六個月 一年 二年 三年 五年 十年 累積 -27. 22% -32. 66% -40. 68% -34. 14% -22. 18% 1. 22% 33. 59% 年平均 — — -40. 68% -18. 87% -8. 03% 0. 24% 2. 94% 定期定額累積投資成果 伯) (每月投資新台幣 5000元 至 2008/11/30止 資料來源:理 一年 累積金額 二年 三年 五年 $42, 794 $79, 412 $123, 170 $232, 576 累積投資成果=成本+投資報 酬

投資成長圖 投資成長圖

主要持股明細 (2008/11/30) 主要投資產業 (2008/11/30) Microsoft Corp. 生化製藥與生命科學 Com cast Corp. 能源 Chevron Corp. 媒體 主要持股明細 (2008/11/30) 主要投資產業 (2008/11/30) Microsoft Corp. 生化製藥與生命科學 Com cast Corp. 能源 Chevron Corp. 媒體 Accenture Ltd 軟體服務業 Amgen Inc 通訊服務業 Royal Dutch Shell 資本設備 BP. Plc 半導體業 UPS Inc 運輸產業 Oracle Corp. 公共事業 Taiwan Semiconductor 醫療設備與服務業

SALES GROWTH RATE Microsoft Corp. Comcast Corp. 3 Year Average: 14. 98% 3 Year SALES GROWTH RATE Microsoft Corp. Comcast Corp. 3 Year Average: 14. 98% 3 Year Average: 15. 74% 5 Year Average: 13. 48% 5 Year Average: 13. 50% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes Chevron Corp. Accenture Ltd 3 Year Average: 13. 05% 3 Year Average: 14. 05% 5 Year Average: 18. 86% 5 Year Average: 13. 61% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes

SALES GROWTH RATE Amgen Inc Royal Dutch Shell 3 Year Average: 5. 49% 3 SALES GROWTH RATE Amgen Inc Royal Dutch Shell 3 Year Average: 5. 49% 3 Year Average: 15. 73% 5 Year Average: 12. 11% 5 Year Average: 18. 63% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes BP. Plc UPS Inc 3 Year Average: 13. 38% 3 Year Average: 6. 91% 5 Year Average: 10. 04% 5 Year Average: 9. 28% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Maybe Meets Objective? NO

SALES GROWTH RATE Oracle Corp. Taiwan Semiconductor 3 Year Average: 23. 11% 3 Year SALES GROWTH RATE Oracle Corp. Taiwan Semiconductor 3 Year Average: 23. 11% 3 Year Average: 13. 40% 5 Year Average: 19. 17% 5 Year Average: 15. 49% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes

EPS GROWTH RATE Microsoft Corp. Com cast Corp. 3 Year Average: 17. 82% 3 EPS GROWTH RATE Microsoft Corp. Com cast Corp. 3 Year Average: 17. 82% 3 Year Average: 40. 67% 5 Year Average: 14. 45% 5 Year Average: 90. 02% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes Chevron Corp. Accenture Ltd 3 Year Average: 16. 00% 3 Year Average: 21. 41% 5 Year Average: 26. 52% 5 Year Average: 22. 66% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes

EPS GROWTH RATE Amgen Inc Royal Dutch Shell 3 Year Average: 11. 38% 3 EPS GROWTH RATE Amgen Inc Royal Dutch Shell 3 Year Average: 11. 38% 3 Year Average: 15. 07% 5 Year Average: 19. 68% 5 Year Average: 27. 74% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes BP. Plc UPS Inc 3 Year Average: 22. 40% 3 Year Average: 1. 77% 5 Year Average: 25. 47% 5 Year Average: 8. 49% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes Meets Objective? NO

EPS GROWTH RATE Oracle Corp. Taiwan Semiconductor 3 Year Average: 24. 20% 3 Year EPS GROWTH RATE Oracle Corp. Taiwan Semiconductor 3 Year Average: 24. 20% 3 Year Average: 9. 87% 5 Year Average: 24. 98% 5 Year Average: 27. 69% Desired Growth Rate: 12% Meets Objective? Yes

P/E Comcast Corp. Microsoft Corp. Present Price 20. 33 Present Price 17. 99 Present P/E Comcast Corp. Microsoft Corp. Present Price 20. 33 Present Price 17. 99 Present EPS 1. 89 Present EPS 0. 91 Present P/E Ratio 10. 76 Present P/E Ratio 19. 77 Desired P/E 21 Meets Objective? Yes 21 Meets Objective? Yes Chevron Corp. Accenture Ltd Present Price 76. 52 Present Price 33. 67 Present EPS 11. 53 Present EPS 2. 79 Present P/E Ratio 6. 64 Present P/E Ratio 12. 07 Desired P/E 21 Meets Objective? Yes

P/E Amgen Inc Royal Dutch Shell Present Price 58. 99 Present Price 53. 53 P/E Amgen Inc Royal Dutch Shell Present Price 58. 99 Present Price 53. 53 Present EPS 3. 76 Present EPS 12. 11 Present P/E Ratio 15. 69 Present P/E Ratio 4. 42 Desired P/E 21 Meets Objective? Yes UPS Inc BP. Plc Present Price 48. 45 Present Price 56. 11 Present EPS 9. 08 Present EPS 0. 10 Present P/E Ratio 5. 34 Present P/E Ratio 539. 52 Desired P/E 21 Meets Objective? Yes

P/E Oracle Corp. Taiwan Semiconductor Present Price 18. 41 Present Price 8. 22 Present P/E Oracle Corp. Taiwan Semiconductor Present Price 18. 41 Present Price 8. 22 Present EPS 1. 10 Present EPS 0. 72 Present P/E Ratio 16. 74 Present P/E Ratio 11. 42 Desired P/E 21 Meets Objective? Yes

Indications of Value Microsoft Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 20. 33 Indications of Value Microsoft Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 20. 33 1. 89 10. 76 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -32. 68% 100% No Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 381. 36% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 4. 76% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 81. 03% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -5. 35 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value Comcast Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 17. 99 Indications of Value Comcast Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 17. 99 0. 91 19. 77 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -23. 77% 100% NO Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 361. 38% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 0. 46% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 72. 74% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -4. 12 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value Chevron Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 76. 52 Indications of Value Chevron Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 76. 52 11. 53 6. 64 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years 36. 40% 100% No Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 218. 93% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 8. 15% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 51. 94% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio 58. 33 Zoning >3 Buy

Indications of Value Accenture Ltd Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 33. 67 Indications of Value Accenture Ltd Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 33. 67 2. 79 12. 07 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years 19. 82% 100% No Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 880. 97% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 4. 92% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 181. 12% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -49. 78 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value Amgen Inc Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 58. 99 Indications of Value Amgen Inc Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 58. 99 3. 76 15. 69 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -11. 82% 100% NO Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 175. 05% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 0. 00% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 35. 01% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -11. 84 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value Royal Dutch Shell Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 53. Indications of Value Royal Dutch Shell Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 53. 53 12. 11 4. 42 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -7. 39% 100% No Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 376. 92% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 17. 37% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 92. 75% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -7. 39 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value BP. Plc Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 48. 45 Indications of Value BP. Plc Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 48. 45 9. 08 5. 34 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -21. 98% 100% No Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 231. 60% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 10. 29% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 56. 61% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -2. 83 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value UPS Inc Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 56. 11 Indications of Value UPS Inc Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 56. 11 0. 10 539. 52 21 NO Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -37. 03% 100% NO Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 167. 55% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 4. 55% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 38. 06% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -9. 28 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value Oracle Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 18. 41 Indications of Value Oracle Corp. Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 18. 41 1. 10 16. 74 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years 18. 77% 100% NO Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 289. 81% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 0. 00% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 57. 96% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -19. 78 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

Indications of Value Taiwan Semiconductor Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 8. 22 Indications of Value Taiwan Semiconductor Price Present Earnings P/E Objective Meets Objective 8. 22 0. 72 11. 42 21 Yes Current PE is LESS 5 year average PE LESS Yes Price increase in the past 5 years -12. 55% 100% NO Projected price increase over next 5 yrs 219. 35% 100% Yes Projected dividend yield over next 5 yrs 10. 24% (Higher is better) Projected total return over next 5 yrs 54. 11% (Higher is better) Upside/Downside Ratio -53. 76 Zoning >3 SELL Buy

總結 綜合以上分析,此基金前景看好, 建議購買。 總結 綜合以上分析,此基金前景看好, 建議購買。