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IPv 6 TF-SC January 29, 2004 IPv 6 TF-SC January 29, 2004

 • Ancient Egyptians believed the heart was the center of intelligence and emotion. • Ancient Egyptians believed the heart was the center of intelligence and emotion. • They also thought so little of the brain that during mummification, they removed the brain entirely from bodies. 2

 Al-Khouarizmi was the first to explain the Hindu system of numerals. He created Al-Khouarizmi was the first to explain the Hindu system of numerals. He created "Algebra" and "Arithmetic" around 820 AD. His Arithmetic book is the first Arab work that explains the decimal place value system. 3

Historical Transitions! Gregorian Calendar Pope Gregory XIII Adopted Oct 4, 1582 Protestants - GB: Historical Transitions! Gregorian Calendar Pope Gregory XIII Adopted Oct 4, 1582 Protestants - GB: 2 Centuries Protestants - Russia: 3. 5 Centuries later 4

Historical Flag Days Transitions! US Area Codes Y 2 K - Jan 1, 2000 Historical Flag Days Transitions! US Area Codes Y 2 K - Jan 1, 2000 Euro – Feb 2002 5

ASCI Table US ASCII = 7 Bits Int‘l ASCII = 8 Bits DNS IDN ASCI Table US ASCII = 7 Bits Int‘l ASCII = 8 Bits DNS IDN DOS 6

Bob Kahn Conclusions at US IPv 6 Summit Washington Oct 2000 l IPv 6 Bob Kahn Conclusions at US IPv 6 Summit Washington Oct 2000 l IPv 6 is under-hyped (for what it really will do) • Industry cannot make it happen • DOD must return to leadership 7

 Bob Metcalfe’s Quote Ethernet & TCP/IP invented in Palo Alto in 1973 l Bob Metcalfe’s Quote Ethernet & TCP/IP invented in Palo Alto in 1973 l • CSMA/CD LAN Ethernet at Xerox Parc • TCP/IP WAN Internet at Stanford. • Ethernet has evolved – from 2. 94 Mbps over shared coaxial cable, to 100 Mbps over switched twisted pairs – to 100 Gbps over fiber – to 11 Mbps over radio at 2. 4 GHz, and beyond. • Meanwhile, TCP/IP has evolved to IPv 4, where it has been sitting for too long. • -------- Time for IPv 6!. 8 Quote - June 12, 2003 for IPv 6 Summit in San Diego

 The Next Big Thing @ CES Carly Fiorina: ”Adaptive Information Technology” l • The Next Big Thing @ CES Carly Fiorina: ”Adaptive Information Technology” l • IBM: ”On-Demand Computing” • Bill Gates: ” Seamless Computing ” • Other Vendors: > Ubiquitous Computing > Autonomous Computing > Utility Computing • Forester Research: ” Organic Computing ” • Gartner: ” Real-Time Computing ” • Vision Hard to Name: Unglamorous Technology: 9 ”Futility Computing”

So, Why Bother? It’s the Human Genius ! The Genius in the human being So, Why Bother? It’s the Human Genius ! The Genius in the human being is to find a small fix for a big problem until the big problem cannot be fixed by small fixes. 10

So, Why Bother? e 2 e – The Best Kept Secret – – Complexity So, Why Bother? e 2 e – The Best Kept Secret – – Complexity rises as technology exceeds its design limits Workarounds become endemic Maintenance costs become excessive Logical End-to-end model of networking sacrificed End 2 End Phone Call + Call back End 2 End IP Multimedia Connection 11

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Commercial IPv 6 Products Exist Today Peer-to-Peer Secure Mobile Gaming, E-Business, Etc…. . IPv Commercial IPv 6 Products Exist Today Peer-to-Peer Secure Mobile Gaming, E-Business, Etc…. . IPv 6 Tornado Wireless and Wireline Integration Main Street IPv 6 Test Beds IPv 6 R&D Bowling Alley Early Asia and Adopters Europe Projection 13 Global IPv 6 Internet Investment for the Internet in Asia and Europe. $$$$ Early Market Innovators Pervasive Mobile IPv 6 Telephony We are here today Early Majority Late Majority Laggards U. S. Projecti on Today

Causing Major Worldwide Investments in IPv 6 R&D + Infrastructure ( 1 B$ ) Causing Major Worldwide Investments in IPv 6 R&D + Infrastructure ( 1 B$ ) l l l 14 EU Japan Korea Taiwan China DOD ---------- 165 M€ (90 ME – EC) ---------- X 00 M$ ---------- 140 M$ -------------------- 170 M$ ---------- 34 B$ (Potential)

Addressing Divide Busted! 15 Addressing Divide Busted! 15

The European IPv 6 Task Force A Key & Instrumental Model www. ec. IPv The European IPv 6 Task Force A Key & Instrumental Model www. ec. IPv 6 Tf. org 16

The National IPv 6 Task Forces 17 The National IPv 6 Task Forces 17

 IPv 6 TF Around The World Statistics 18 IPv 6 TF Around The World Statistics 18 "The value You. IPv 6 using IPv 6 realized only if the deployment effort of are can be (2002: d 4 e 9: 3 a 79: : d 4 e 9: 3 a 79) is broadly based on a global scale. Part of the IPv 6 Task Force effort needs to be devoted to fostering IPv 6 understanding where ever the Internet has gone, and beyond that to places where it can go with the help of the much-expanded IPv 6 address space. I encourage your initiative and support your efforts to create a receptive environment for the development, delivery and use of IPv 6 in the global Internet".

Non-Stop Education – 12 Summits l l l l l 19 l Belgian Global Non-Stop Education – 12 Summits l l l l l 19 l Belgian Global IPv 6 SUMMIT Second Russian Global IPv 6 Summit Kuala Lumpur IPv 6 Summit 2003 US Global IPv 6 SUMMIT Tokyo Global IPv 6 SUMMIT Australia IPv 6 Conference BANGALORE Global IPv 6 SUMMIT Tokyo IPv 6 Business Summit 2004 Global IPv 6 Summit in China 2004 US IPv 6 SUMMIT Global IPv 6 Summit Korea 2004

IPv 6 Ready Logo Initiative l Unique logo programme has been defined. l The IPv 6 Ready Logo Initiative l Unique logo programme has been defined. l The IPv 6 logo will give confidence to users that IPv 6 is currently operational. 20

Apps Promotion Activities 21 Apps Promotion Activities 21

Taking Down Barriers But Causing New Ones l l l l 22 Infrastructure Investments Taking Down Barriers But Causing New Ones l l l l 22 Infrastructure Investments 3 G Disaster ( Most visible IPv 6 App ) ISP ROI ( Tough to demonstrate ) No Visible & Clear Cut IPv 6 Apps Showstoppers: CEO - CTO Industry Won’t Make it Happen Consultants and Press Not enthused by IPv 6

Releasing The Hand Brakes! Causing Some ISPs To Launch IPv 6 Service l l Releasing The Hand Brakes! Causing Some ISPs To Launch IPv 6 Service l l l 23 Japan EU Korea Taiwan China USA 50% (NTT Com ) France Telecom NTT / Verio

The Japan Appli-Contest Initiative http: //www. cordis. lu/ist/rn/news_jun_03. h http: //www. v 6 pc. The Japan Appli-Contest Initiative http: //www. cordis. lu/ist/rn/news_jun_03. h http: //www. v 6 pc. jp/apc/en/concept. html 24 http: //www. ipv 6 style. jp/en/apps/20030520/index. shtml

Conservative at 100 Billion/Year? 10 TU Metcalf’s Law: The value of a network increases Conservative at 100 Billion/Year? 10 TU Metcalf’s Law: The value of a network increases exponentially with the number of nodes on the network 1 TU 1/Consumer Appliance 100 BU 1/Object Potential 1/Human 1/Computer 1 BU Current Penetration 100 MU 10 MU Cell Phones Wi-Fi Bluetooth/ Zig. Bee RFID Source: Deloitte & Touche, . . Gilder / Forbes Telecosm Conference 2003 25

IPv 4 Internet IPv 6 Internet 10 Killer Apps bigger than the Web!!! ITS IPv 4 Internet IPv 6 Internet 10 Killer Apps bigger than the Web!!! ITS WEB/Email 3 G Vo. IP P 2 P Ad Hoc HN GRID Deployment Rate Slow but Steady 26

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l Work on Strategic Objectives: - Policy : Constant Feedback to our Gov Advocates l Work on Strategic Objectives: - Policy : Constant Feedback to our Gov Advocates - Business Case - Apps l l l 28 - National Task Force Roadmaps (US, India, . . - International Cooperation CEO – CTO Strategic Sessions Win Infra-Apps and New Apps Sectors Win New ISPs – Show Cost Case. Benchmark deployment progress – PR campaign Go for the Deployment Tipping Point: 10% IPv