BALINT MENYHERT “ECONOMIC GROWTH SPURRED BY DIVERSITY : CENTRAL EUROPE AT TURN OF 20 TH C. COMMENTS BY …OLEH HAVRYLYSHYN 1
WHAT PAPER DOES • HOW CAN YOU (me anyway) NOT LIKE A CLIOMETRIC PAPER WITH THREE CLEVER TRICKS : 1. FINDS A HUGE DATA SET 2. TURNS ON ITS HEAD FRACTIONALISATION THESIS 3. FIRST TIME AN ECONOMETRICIAN USES THE ADJECTIVE “EXCITING” IN FRONT OF “INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE” (p. 4) • TECHNICALLY VERY THOROUGH: CAREFUL DATA COLLECTION, VARIOUS ECONOMETRIC TECHNIQUES, LOTS OF ROBUSTNESS TESTS • FINDS INDEED GROWTH ( proxy=taxbase) HIGHER WHERE ETHNIC or RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY HIGHER • AS A BONUS , GIVES READER 2 nd paper “ CLEVER” IV EXERCISES CONFIRMING RESULT 2
WHAT PAPER DOES NOT DO : THE BIG THING • DOES NOT BEGIN WITH THEORETICAL MODEL in fact it ends with attempt to suggest such a model ( sec. 6) RELATING DIVERSITY > GROWTH – • LIT. REVIEW VERY GOOD, THOROUGH-BUT A LITTLE STRANGE TO SEE ONE AT BEGINNING (p. 4 ff), AND ANOTHER AT THE END (p. 25 ff) • BETTER EVENTUALLY START WITH MODEL AND HAVE ONE LITERTURE REVIEW ; WHAT COULD THAT MODEL BE ? ? ? 3
THE BIG THING -…cont’d • THIS ex post EXPLANATION VAGUELY CENTRES ON VIEW THAT ETHNIC DIVERSITY LEADS TO GROUPS SPECIALISING ( SLOVAK MINERS, JEWISH LAWYERS. fn 31) AND MUTUAL TRUST INCREASES PRODUCTIVITY • OK , BUT THIS IS NOT NEW IS IT ? EVERETT HAGEN WROTE ABOUT THAT IN 1957 EDCC-WORTH GOING BACK ? ? ? 4
THE BIG THING -…cont’d • Could be Hagen thesis renewed, BUT I think Menyhert believes something else is special about Austro-Hungary. . . What ? • Let me suggest “GOOD INSTITUTIONS” tipped the balance from ethnic tensions-fractionalisation in favour of productive behaviour • a good governance environment that accepted diversity , encouraged collaboration , supported all by reasonable Rule-of-Law • : Institutions matter’’ is a big new thing in development today : WAS A-H AN EXAMPLE 5 OF THIS ? ?
WHAT PAPER DOES NOT DO: SOME SMALL THINGS • explain why IV needed: results strong, IV not so strong, not clear if war events or founding century more important, ---to shorten , could this be a separate paper /note? • so many tables, figures, hard to follow, esp as text references sometimes inaccurate, numbering unclear • Explain why budget size not significant (p. 16)-odd • I know what Roman Catholic is, I know I am Greek Catholic : BUT I do not know what is ORTHODOX CATHOLIC ? ? ? (p. 47) --- popular but incorrect terms !!! • I suggest you stick with terminology of most historians, Roman Catholic, Uniate Catholic, and just Orthodox. 6
KOSONOM , &NAIS TUKE BALINT YOUR PRIZE. . . A STORY OF THE CARPATHIANS , REGION OF MANY BORDERS. . • An old man sits on bench in front of his house in the “Varos” GRANDSON just back from Dusseldorf asks: “ Grandpa , why don’t you travel now it’s allowed ? , see other countries? ’’ 7
• Old man replies: “I have lived in this house all my life, never gone farther than 10 km; and even before your ‘OCJIEC “was born , I had already lived in FIVE COUNTRIES” 8
IF EXPLANATION NEEDED. . • “How can that be “Dido ”? • “Well, you see UNOKO one day I am here , in Romania-tomorrow a little war starts, the next day police officer has a new uniform I am in Ukraina/ Not for long – soon another war , again a new police uniform –and I am in Hungary. . . And on and on --- BOZHE MOY. . . IF ONLY I COULD HAVE A PENSION FROM EACH COUNTRY I LIVED IN !!] 9
…. AND NOW FOR EVERYBODY AT DAY’S END…. 10
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