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A waiter at the Green Spot Restaurant has learned from long experience that the probability that a lone diner will leave a tip is only 0. 7. During one lunch hour, the waiter serves six people who are dining by themselves. Make a graph of the binomial probability distribution that shows the probabilities that 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or all 6 lone diners leave tips.
The basic ideas used to compute quotas also can be used in medical science (how frequently checkups should occur), quality control (how many production flaws should be expected), or risk management (how many bad loans a bank should expect in a certain investment group). To have adequate power, a satellite must have a quota of three working solar cells. Such problems come from many different sources, but they all have one thing in common: They are solved using the binomial probability distribution.
To solve quota problems, it is often helpful to use equivalent formulas for expressing binomial probabilities. These formulas involve the complement rule and the fact that binomial events are independent. Equivalent probabilities will be used in Example 9.
Junk bonds can be profitable as well as risky. Why are investors willing to consider junk bonds? Suppose you can buy junk bonds at a tremendous discount. You try to choose “good” companies with a “good” product. The company should have done well but for some reason did not.
Suppose you consider only companies with a 35% estimated risk of default, and your financial investment goal requires four bonds to be “good” bonds in the sense that they will not default before a certain date. Remember, junk bonds that do not default are usually very profitable because they carry a very high rate of return. The other bonds in your investment group can default (or not) without harming your investment plan.